2019 Week 11 NFL Picks
By the Football Garbage Time StaffIf you followed last year, you won over 60% of your picks, and we aim to do even better this year.
And if you’ve been following us, you know that we here at Football Garbage Time have gone head to head against Wally, Will and Ray at Urban Sports Scene on our NFL Picks for the last 4 seasons. Why? Because they’re awesome competitors, they KNOW their sports, and, heck, they’re just good guys! This year we’ll have their picks up right HERE, so keep it tuned in, to both us and them, because we’ll be picking all season all long.
Without further to do, here we go:
Week 11 Games
Ha Kung Wong’s Picks
Ha Kung’s Thoughts:
Last year I ended up with a 66% record for the season, so that’s four years in a row with over a 60% pick rate. And this year, although I had a rough week 10, I’m still tied for 2nd place with a 90-57 record (61.2%).
Plus, I had a 94% record on Locks of the Week last year. Unfortunately, I lost my first Lock last week as the Saints inexplicably got roasted by the Falcons, leaving me at 9-1 for Locks of the Week, but Miami did exactly what I thought they’d do to a Brian Hoyer led Colts, and I’m now 5-5 on Upsets of the Week!
Let’s get to that Lock and Upset for Week 11…
Lock of the Week => Oakland Raiders (-10.0) over Cincinnati Bengals
So it turns out that although my Saints pick didn’t work out last week, my entire Eliminator Pool was actually knocked out, so we all live to pick another day! Since I’m running this column Eliminator style, I’ll continue with NOT picking a team that previously picked as a Lock. So that means, this week, I got with the Raiders over the Bengals.
The Bengals are a disaster. Not only is AJ Green still out, and potentially never coming back, and John Ross III still a few weeks from returning, but pulling Andy Dalton for Ryan Finley definitely did not make things better. Finley managed just 167 yards on 31 attempts while failing to complete a single pass that traveled more than 15 yards in the air. He made numerous poor decisions, including a terrible pick-six late in the second quarter that sealed the outcome in a crushing 49-13 loss to the Ravens, when the Ravens essentially played their B-Squad in the fourth quarter. The Bengals now have the worst rated defense and the 3rd worst rated offense in the NFL per DVOA. The Raiders, on the other hand, having trending in the other direction winning their last 2 games. Josh Jacobs is becoming a force to be reckoned with and the entire Oakland offense is surprisingly now ranked the 5th best offense in the league. Their defense still leaves much to be desired, but they shutdown Philip Rivers and company in Week 10, and although Rivers far from what I would call good, he’s still a lot better than Finley. Lock in those Raiders.
Upset of the Week => Chicago Bears (+6.5) over Los Angeles Rams
Well, I’m rolling with two correct Upset picks in back-to-back weeks with the Ravens over the Pats and the Dolphins over the Colts. I was going to take the easy route and pick the Jets over the Redskins, but that’s no fun, so let’s keep this going with another one where you might think I’ve lost my mind.
The Rams look completely lost. Jared Goff regressed dramatically, even after coming off a bye, completing just 22 of 41 for 243 yards and 2 INTs against the Steelers 3rd ranked defense. He now has the 5th worst QBR in the NFL among starting QBs (39.7), has thrown multiple INTs in three games, good for second most in the NFL, and has 14 total turnovers, good for the 3rd most in the NFL. In short, he’s a mess. The Rams still have a solid defense (4th), but the Bears also have a solid defense (5th) and should be able to keep Goff on his downward trend. The big question is what the Bears will do on offense. My guess is they run the ball a ton and utilize short passes to Tarik Cohen and Allen Robinson to try and control time of possession while letting their defense do the work against Goff. I think this will be a very close low scoring game, but I think the Bears will continue the Rams sudden free fall. I prefer the Bears with the points, but would definitely sprinkle in a few moneyline bets too.
Joanne Kong’s Picks
New York Jets @ Washington Redskins
Both the New York Giants and the New York Jets put on a show in week 10. Putting up a combined 61-points, the Jets won 34-27. Even with the loss, Daniel Jones had the best game of his rookie career, throwing for 4 touchdowns, 308 yards and no interceptions. But with only twenty-three rushing yards, twenty of which were from Jones, the Giants just fell short.
In the last ten games, the Jets defense has totaled 19 sacks. Six of those sacks came in week 10, against the New York Giants, plus they had a defensive touchdown. The Jets also made 2 of 3 field goals and Le’Veon Bell had his second touchdown this season.
The Jets seemed to have found their rhythm and they should be able to bring that momentum to Washington in Week 11. Although the Jets are sitting in the league with the 26th defense against the pass game, Washington is currently struggling in the quarterback position. And with the 2nd best defense against the run game, Washington will more than likely see another loss coming off the bi-week with the 14th ranked defense against the pass and the 5th worst defense against the run.
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) November 13, 2019
I don’t know if picking the New York Jets in Week 11 is an upset, but with Washington as 1-point favorites, the New York Jets bring home a win.
Ryan Whitfield’s Picks
Follow me on Twitter – @RyanWhitfieldNE
Scott King’s Picks
Injuries are impacting teams as the season moves on. Still seeing some surprise upsets. Keep grinding.
Check out Wally’s thoughts also at the 57:22 minute mark of the most recent Urban Sports Scene Podcast!
— Wole USS (@UrbanSportScene) November 14, 2019
Check out Ray’s thoughts also at the 1 hour mark of the most recent Urban Sports Scene Podcast!
UPDATE: George is switching his pick to the Colts with Jacoby Brissett returning.
Let’s start with Thursday night and Pittsburgh back! Right? No! Struggled past the inconsistent Chargers and under-talented Dolphins and only beat the Colts because Jacoby Brissett got hurt. And yes Cleveland can be just as flaky and inconsistent but remember only terrible place kicking prevented them from sweeping the Steelers last season. Take the Browns.
Nick Foles is back for Jacksonville and Brian Hoyer is still starting for Indianapolis. That’s all you need to know. Take the Jaguars.
Dwayne Haskins is starting for Washington for the rest of the season. The good news ends there because he still doesn’t have the weapons or offensive line in front of him to be effective. Meanwhile the dormant Jets offense sprang to life last week and the Jets’ 2 wins are against the NFC East. Take the Jets.
Baltimore-Houston was one of the toughest games to call. Two weeks off was just what the Texans needed but I don’t trust that offensive line to protect DeShaun Watson. Lamar Jackson might not be the better QB but he has the better supporting cast and coach. And that’s good enough for me. Take the Ravens.
New England-Philaelphia is another tough one. Both teams are coming off a bye and both coaches, Doug Pedersen and Bill Belichick, excel in that situation. Both teams need a victory (especially the Patriots who could find there status as the number 1 seed in danger from Baltimore). In the end the Patriots win because they get back to running the football with Sony Michel and Rex Burkhead and win a close one with the Eagles.
Week 10 Results
Check back next week for our Week 11 results and Week 12 picks!