2018 Week 7 NFL Picks
By the Football Garbage Time StaffIf you followed last year, you won over 60% of your picks, and we aim to do even better this year.
And if you’ve been following us, you know that we here at Football Garbage Time have gone head to head against Wally, Will and Ray at Urban Sports Scene on our NFL Picks for the last 3 seasons. Why? Because they’re awesome competitors, they KNOW their sports, and, heck, they’re just good guys! But this year we’ll have their picks up right HERE each and every week, so keep it tuned in, to both us and them, because we’ll be picking all season all long.
Without further to do, here we go:
Week 7 Games
Ha Kung Wong’s Picks
Ha Kung’s Thoughts:
Last year I ended up with a 62% record for the season, so that’s three years in a row with over a 60% pick rate. I had a decent Week 6 getting me to 57-34 (62.6%). And I intend to keep you at 62%+.
So far this season I’m 5 for 6 on Locks of the Week and 2 for 6 for Upsets of the Week (wow, Chiefs, you almost had it). Let’s see what I can do for you for Week 7…
Lock of the Week => Los Angeles Rams (-10.5) over San Francisco 49ers
The Rams are undefeated and are rocking some of the best offense and defense in the league. Even with Cooper Kupp out, there’s still Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods to contend with. On defense, the Rams are solid against the pass, but a surprising 26th against the run per DVOA, but Matt Breida is still playing through an ankle and shoulder injury, so he won’t be 100%. And sure, C.J. Beathard has played better than we all expected, but he’s no Jimmy G. The 49ers defense is 25th in the NFL per DVOA, and that just not going to cut it against the Rams.
Upset of the Week => New Orleans Saints (+2.5) over Baltimore Ravens
The Saints are coming off a bye and are getting healthier. The Saints’ top corner, Marshon Lattimore had a concussion in Week 5, but is back and ready to go, which will be key in neutralizing John Brown. Alvin Kamara had a week to rest up from heavy usage in the first 4 weeks, and has his backfield partner Mark Ingram back after a breakout return in Week 5. New Orleans may be surprisingly weak against the pass this year (30th per DVOA) but has the top run defense in the league (1st per DVOA), which should be able to hold the likes of Alex Collins. We all know Joe Flacco can be Jekyll & Hyde with his performances, and with no ground game to rely on, he may revert back to the Pickmaster 2000. Could the Ravens top end defense win the game for them? Could the fact that Brees has never beaten the Ravens in 4 tries get into his head and be a problem? Sure. But in Brees I trust, particularly with a full backfield and coming off a bye week, so I’m going with the upset and with Brees becoming the 3 QB ever to have a win against every franchise.
Joanne Kong’s Picks
- The Los Angeles Rams are the only undefeated team in the NFL.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars defense might not be as good as everyone believed.
- The Miami Dolphins beat Mitchell Trubisky and the Chicago Bears in Overtime with Brock Osweiler as quarterback, Khalil Mack is currently day to day. In week 7, Osweiler will be starting for the Dolphins once again against the Detroit Lions at home. Will magic strike twice for this 4-2 team? Knowing Osweiler, probably not. Detroit Lions win coming off a bye-week.
- The New England Patriots defeated the Kansas City Chiefs (43-40). In week 7, they’ll face the Chicago Bears at Solider Field. Anything can happen…remember the game when Trubisky threw for 354 passing yards, 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. It was week 4 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
You can't definitively say one would have happened without the other, but both Mitchell Trubisky's deep attempt rate and his fantasy points per game have jumped in a big way this year.
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) October 16, 2018
- Buffalo Bills (2-4) @ Indianapolis Colts (1-5)
Josh Allen is out week to week with an elbow injury after a loss to the Houston Texans in week 6. Without Allen, the Bills will be starting Derek Anderson. Don’t know who Derek Anderson is, that’s okay. Nobody really does. But, he was drafted by the Baltimore Ravens in the 6th round in 2005, a former pro-bowler while with the Cleveland Browns, a long tie back-up for Cam Newton of the Carolina Panthers and was signed just nine days ago by the Bills.
In week 6, the Indianapolis Colts lost to the New York Jets. Andrew Luck is tied for the most interception, 8, in the league. But, against a new quarterback starting for the Bills, the Colts should have an advantage playing at home.
- Tennessee Titans (3-3) @ Los Angeles Chargers (4-2)
Technically the Titans and Chargers will be playing at Wembley Stadium in London. In week 6, the Titans were shut out by the Baltimore Ravens at home. The offense gave up 11 sacks, more than the previous five weeks. Marcus Mariota is totaling only 793 passing yards this season and 2 passing touchdowns.
The Chargers, on the other hand, are 4-2, with their only loss to the former undefeated Kansas City Chiefs and the currently undefeated Los Angeles Rams. Philip Rivers totals 1702 passing yards and 15 touchdowns. While Melvin Gordon has 466 rushing yards, 6 rushing touchdowns, 279 passing yards and 3 passing touchdowns.
MELVIN. GORDON. pic.twitter.com/06SwxKRINr
— Los Angeles Chargers (@Chargers) October 14, 2018
Ryan Whitfield’s Picks
It’s always fun starting this article late and already being in the hole 0-1, but such is life. So, here’s how we’re running the table the rest of the way.
Here’s a quick look at my locks this weekend.
Chargers over Titans across the pond. The Eagles take care of the Panthers at home. Can anyone beat the Rams? We’ll have to wait at least another week to find out. The Chiefs are 6-0 against the spread and 5.5 point favorites this week, and that continues as they win and cover against the Bengals.
Now for some of the tougher ones. Bree’s has never beaten the Ravens. That doesn’t change as that defense stymies the Saints high powered offense on the road. I think the Bears put up a fight but the Patriots pull away in the end. Lastly, I’ll take the 2-4 Falcons on Monday Night over the 1-5 Giants.
Follow me on Twitter – @RyanWhitfieldNE
Scott King’s Picks
Solid week with the home dogs. I went 10-5 and missed in taking the Skins at home. This week there aren’t as many home dogs but I’m still hanging with the home cookin. Need an 11 win week to get back in this thing.
Thursday Night is a big game for the Denver Broncos. Lance Joseph’s job is on the line. Unfortunately, it looks like the Arizona Cardinals rookie Josh Rosen is getting better. Look for Rosen and Cardinals’ wide receiver Christian Kirk to connect on a big play. I like Arizona for an upset.
Now to another rookie quarterback in Sam Darnold. I wasn’t the biggest Darnold fan coming out of USC. However, I have to admit that he has been a playmaker for the New York Jets. In a match up with the Super Bowl contending Minnesota Vikings, they are going against a dangerous offense with wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen. I look for the Jets to bring a lot of pressure towards Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins; not giving him time to find his receivers. I see Jets’ head coach Todd Bowles bringing pressure and forcing Cousins to turn the ball over. Don’t forget that the Jets are 2nd in the NFL in forcing turnovers. Give me the Jets in another upset.
I know! I’m providing you all with upsets but don’t forget “scared money don’t make money.” Also I’m trying to catch Ryan because he’s talking too much smack. In Wally from the Urban Sports Scene we trust! <Dropped the Mic>
Broncos / Chargers / Bears / Colts / Dolphins / Jets/ Eagles / Buccaneers / Jaguars / Ravens / Rams / Cowboys / Chiefs / Falcons
Going for quite a few dogs this week starting with Arizona to upset toothless Denver at home. Another home dog I like are the Jets who all of sudden can hammer people on the ground and the Vikings defense is not quite as stout as last year. Even though Jacksonville has cost me dearly the last 2 weeks I am giving them one more chance at home to Houston because the Texans offense was awful against Buffalo at home last week. And even though Cleveland was an awful pick last week I am going with them against the now Winston-led Bucs. New Orleans vs. Baltimore is the irresistible force vs. the immovable object. The irresistible force (the Saints offence) does enough to win. And I hate to do it but I can’t pick the inconsistent Redskins to break their recent jinx against the hated Cowboys. Kansas City bounces back in a shootout with Cincinnati.
Week 6 Results
Check back next week for our Week 7 results and Week 8 picks!