2018 Pro Bowl Picks

January 27, 2018

By the Football Garbage Time Staff

If you followed last year, you won over 60% of your picks, and we aim to do even better this year.

Without further to do, here are our picks:

2018 Pro Bowl

Sunday, January 28, 2018 @ 3 PM ET

NFC favored by 3

Over/Under 69

[UPDATE: As of Noon ET on 1/27/18, the Over/Under is now 63]

[UPDATE: As of 10:30 AM ET on 1/28/18, the Over/Under is now 64.5]

Moneyline

AFC = +130
NFC = -150

Ha Kung Wong’s Picks

NFC Wins, Covers Spread, Take the Under [UPDATE: At 63, I’ll Take the Over]

Ha Kung’s Thoughts:

Last year I ended up with a 62% record for the season, so that’s two years in a row with over a 60% pick rate. Was 50/50 in the Conference Championships, bringing me to 166-100 overall this year, which is a 62.4% pick rate, so we’re right on target once again this season!

Last week’s Lock of the Week barely went to plan with the Pats due to some late game heroics. That makes me 7-3 on Locks and 2-6 on Upsets after Conference Championships.

Obviously, there won’t be any more Locks or Upsets of the Week this season, but not to worry, I’ll be back with more next season!

For the Pro Bowl, it’s pretty much a crap shoot. But I like the NFC QBs (Wilson, Brees and Goff) better than the AFC QBs (Roethlisberger, Smith and Carr). Heck, Carr has been underwhelming this season with only 233.1 passing yards per game and 22 TDs to 17 turnovers, leading his Raiders to a sickly 6-10 record. In fact, his 86.4 quarterback rating was behind Andy Dalton at 19th among qualified passers. I’d be surprised if he’s not responsible in some way for at least one turnover.

And if you believe in statistics for Pro Bowls, then this might be of interest. Last year, when the Pro Bowl went back to AFC vs. NFC, the AFC won. In the NFC vs. AFC Pro Bowls before last year, the teams alternated wins for the past 5 years. And every win has covered a 3 point spread. So I’m going to follow the trend and say that the NFC wins this year and covers the 3 point spread.

As for the Over/Under, it’s clear that betting pundits are favoring the Under. The Over/Under opened at 71 and is now all the way down to 67. [UPDATE: It’s now up to 64.5, after dipping to 63.] When I originally made my pick, the Over/Under was at 70, but I’m still siding with the pundits thinking the Under will hit at 67. Last year, it was defensive game with the AFC winning 20-13, which was really far below the Over/Under. I don’t think that’s happening again, but defenses are getting better, so I think the game will still be around 35 – 31, which is still Under. [UPDATE: At 64.5, I’m taking the Over.]

Also, just because we love competition here at Football Garbage Time, we’re once again going heads up against Wally, Will and Ray at Urban Sports Scene on our NFL Picks.

Who will win on Championship Sunday @Jaguars vs. @Patriots and @Vikings vs. @Eagles? We debated this here as well: https://t.co/NDJF99tA0D. Listen in (fast forward to the 30 minute mark) #NFLPlayoffs

— Wally aka Waleo USS (@UrbanSportScene) January 20, 2018