2021 FGT Fantasy Football Mock Draft – Rounds 3 & 4

By the Football Garbage Time Staff

As we do every year, we conducted a live Mock Fantasy Football Draft on Twitter (just check out #FGTMockDraft) for a mock PPR standard scoring Yahoo 10-team league (1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, 1 TE, 1 K & 1 DEF) so that all of you can get some insight as to who we like for the upcoming 2021 season, and hopefully help all of you with your drafts.

This year, ten different writers & podcasters from six different sites participated, including:

Each one is taking part in a mock draft live over several weeks on Twitter (feel free to check out the back and forth on Twitter by searching for #FGTMockDraft).  What trends and surprises did we see?

Last week we discussed the results of Rounds 1 and 2 along with some comments from those who made the picks along with Average Draft Position (ADP).  This time we turn to Rounds 3 and 4 with comments and ADP as of July 29th as per Fantasy Pros so you can see how we differ from how they’re currently being drafted in PPR leagues.

You can check out the complete six round draft results HERE.

Don’t agree?  Well, it’s a free country, so sound off in the comments!  And don’t forget to check Rounds 1 & 2 and come back to check out Rounds 5 & 6 of the mock draft!

– Ha Kung Wong, Editor-In-Chief

Joanne Kong

3rd Round – Pick 21 – Allen Robinson (WR) [Current ADP: 32.6]

4th Round – Pick 40 – Myles Gaskins (RB) [Current ADP: 48.8]

This is what Joanne had to say about her picks:

Chicago has had a long string of mediocre quarterbacks including Mike Glennon, Mitch Trubisky, Nick Foles and now Andy Dalton. In the 2020 season, Allen Robinson finished 9th in fantasy points among wide receivers with 262.9 PPR fantasy points, in spite of Chicago’s middle of the road quarterbacks. But 2021 first round draft pick, Justin Fields, has brought excitement and optimism for Allen Robinson in the 2021 season, and may be the best quarterback that he’s ever played with in the NFL.  Heck, even Dalton may be the best quarterback he’s ever played with in the NFL.  Best case scenario, however, may be that Dalton flops and Fields exceeds expectations, making Robinson a top 5 fantasy wide receiver in the NFL.  Worst case scenario, Dalton does well and Robinson is as good as he was last year.  Either way would be fine as a 3rd round draft selection.

With the ability to both carry and catch the ball out of the backfield, Myles Gaskins surprised everyone in the 2020 season by becoming the team’s leading running back. And Gaskins doesn’t seem to have much competition on the team at running back for the upcoming season. Although he missed six games in 2020, four to a knee injury and two with COVID, he still averaged 97.2 yards per game. Two factors will determine if Gaskins is a top fantasy scorer in the upcoming season – Gaskin’s remaining healthy and the volume of his workload in Miami with Tua under center.  Fingers crossed.

Scott King

DK Metcalf – Getty Images

3rd Round – Pick 22 – DK Metcalf (WR) [Current ADP: 19.4]

4th Round – Pick 39 – Robert Woods (WR) [Current ADP: 42.6]

This is what Scott had to say about his picks:

I went WR in the third with the freak DK. Look for Wilson to throw more to prove what he has for Seattle.

DK Metcalf Receiving Stats
Game Rece Rece Rece Rece Rece Rece
Year G Tgt Rec Yds TD Y/G Ctch%
2019 16 100 58 900 7 56.3 58.0%
2020* 16 129 83 1303 10 81.4 64.3%
Care 32 229 141 2203 17 68.8 61.6%

The addition of Matt Stafford to the Rams offense is going to change the outlook for the receiving core. The loss of Cam Akers won’t have a huge impact as he’s not a workhorse. As a Stafford fan, I think he’s going to be better than people understand.  Robert Woods will immediately benefit from his play.

Dan Thury

3rd Round – Pick 23 – A.J. Brown [Current ADP: 22.4]

4th Round – Pick 38 – Miles Sanders [Current ADP: 34.0]

This is what Dan had to say about his picks:

AJ Brown is one of the more efficient WRs in the league posting a lot of top 10-20 efficiency numbers in 2020. Some may think the addition of Julio Jones is going to cap Browns ceiling, I don’t. Julio is gonna help draw attention away from Brown, and I believe the Titans will see another bump up in the passing attempts in 2021.

2020 was a tough year for Miles Sanders, battling injuries, was one of the worst pass catchers from the RB position and the Eagles offense as a whole was pretty bad. The addition of 3 “new” RBs to this offense doesn’t look great either. But, Sanders is a great value at the moment, often one of the final 3-Down backs left in redraft drafts. Sanders has the opportunity to pay off beautifully if he can regain his rookie season efficiency as a pass catcher. Sanders was top 3 in the league in snap share in 2020 and 6th in opportunity share. I’m sorry, but I don’t see Jordan Howard, Kerryawn Johnson and a 5th RD rookie RB taking significant touches away this season, heck between Howard and Johnson, one (both?) could get cut. There is risk in Sanders, but this year that cost a 4th RD pick, instead of late 1st/early 2nd.

Andrew Erickson

3rd Round – Pick 24 – Darren Waller (TE) [Current ADP: 22.6]

4th Round – Pick 37 – D.J. Moore (WR) [Current ADP: 58.6]

This is what Andrew had to say about his picks:

Darren Waller = Travis Kelce upside at half the cost.

DJ Moore was top 10 in yards per game in 2020. My DJ knows how to party and more importantly score fantasy points regardless of situation.

Ryan Whitfield

Davante Adams – Getty Images

3rd Round – Pick 25 – Devante Adams (WR) [Current ADP: 11.2]

4th Round – Pick 36 – J.K. Dobbins (RB) [Current ADP: 30.6]

Kris Hopper

3rd Round – Pick 26 – Calvin Ridley (WR) [Current ADP: 20.0]

4th Round – Pick 35 – Josh Jacobs (RB) [Current ADP: 37.4]

Will Gentile

Najee Harris – USA TODAY Sports

3rd Round – Pick 27 – Najee Harris (RB) [Current ADP: 16.4]

4th Round – Pick 34 – CeeDee Lamb (WR) [Current ADP: 38.4]

Wole Akinso

3rd Round – Pick 28 – Terry McLaurin (WR) [Current ADP: 31.6]

4th Round – Pick 33 – Julio Jones (WR) [Current ADP: 39.2]

Ha Kung Wong

3rd Round – Pick 29 – George Kittle (TE) [Current ADP: 25.0]

4th Round – Pick 32 – Chris Carson (RB) [Current ADP: 36.0]

This is what Ha Kung had to say about his picks:

While the quarterback situation in San Francisco isn’t crystal clear between Jimmy Garoppolo and 2nd overall pick Trey Lance, Kittle will be the 49ers’ go-to option in terms of pass targets.  He missed half of last season, but his health issues shouldn’t impact his value as they aren’t lingering injuries. The athletic, 6-foot-4 receiver should be primed to return to being one of the best fantasy tight ends.  When he played in 2020, Kittle was good for 14.9 PPR points per game, third-best among tight ends.  Over the last three years, Kittle averaged 1,021 yards and 4 TDs, which are solid numbers for a WR1, and ridiculous numbers for a TE, particularly considering he missed half of 2020 due to injury.  If that’s the floor, that provides a huge positional advantage at TE.  And taking him at the end of the 3rd round is a steal.

And as you can see, I doubled down on players who under-performed in 2020 by next selecting Chris Carson, who missed several games due to a foot injury.  Even with that, he remained a top 20 back in PPR leagues, piling up 968 total yards and nine TDs, and having his most receptions per game ever.  The question is whether he can build on this and bounce back to pre-2020 form.  Rashard Penny will still be there competing for 3rd downs, but is coming off an ACL injury.  Head coach Pete Carroll has reiterated his commitment to the ground game, and there’s no reason to believe new OC Shane Waldron will change that.  Assuming he stays healthy, I think he’ll easily overperform a 4th round pick.

Adam Aniba

3rd Round – Pick 30 – Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB) [Current ADP: 23.8]

4th Round – Pick 31 – D’Andre Swift (RB) [Current ADP: 29.0]

This is what Adam had to say about his picks:

I swung for the fences by taking Patrick Mahomes early, so I needed to pick up running backs, and I was confident there was sufficient depth in the 3rd round.  And I was right, as Clyde Edwards-Helaire was available for the taking along with D’Andre Swift at the turn.

Generally, I don’t like to take a QB and RB on the same team, but when that team is the super powered Kansas City Chiefs who has the most yards per game last season (415.8), 112.4 of which were rushing yards, I’ll make an exception.  No Le’Veon Bell and no Damien Williams means no competition for Edwards-Helaire on early down work.

As for Swift, new starting QB Jared Goff will have to acclimate and likely need to use Swift as an escape valve more than a few times per game, and Swift did plenty of damage in the passing game catching 46 of 57 targets for 357 yards last year.  For PPR, he’s an excellent RB2.

Check back soon for our Round 5 and 6 draft picks!

tagged with , , , , ,