Best Daily Fantasy Football Plays for Cash Games – 2019 Week 12
By Ha Kung Wong
In the second half of 2018, we were over 80% for cash lineups! And we’re back with more Daily Fantasy Football advice for Cash Games for Week 12!
As usual, before we get to winning you bragging rights (and DFS cash), remember, the point of this article is not just to give you one or two lineups for each site, it’s to give you examples of a few POSSIBLE lineups. Getting exposure to a few different lineups is always a good idea, so don’t forget to mix and match additional lineups from my suggestions below. Trust me, it’s a lot more fun that way AND you’ll improve your chances of cashing!
Let’s get to winning you some CASH in Week 12 of the 2019 NFL season!
Cash Games, for those who don’t know, are essentially the lowest risk games. They include “50/50” games, in which half the entrants win about 1.8x the entry fee, and “Double Ups”, in which slightly less than half the entrants win 2x the entry fee.
Since there’s so many different sites, and I can’t cover them all, I’ve decided to cover just the most popular sites, including Fan Duel, Draft Kings and Yahoo! Daily Fantasy.
First of all, as a general rule for 50/50 Cash Games, there’s a basic target of points per salary cap spent that you’d like to look for:
- For Fan Duel try to target at least 2 fantasy points per $1000 spent.
- For Draft Kings, try to target at least 2.5 fantasy points per $1000 spent.
- For Yahoo! Daily Fantasy, try to target at least 0.6-0.7 fantasy points per $1 spent.
Remember, this article is not focused on GPP (Tournament) Games, JUST Cash Games. Feel free to use a few of these suggested players as a base when constructing a GPP lineup, but you’ll have to take some chances on a few low cost, upside players as well.
And this year, I’m trying something different. I’m going to provide you with a few sample lineups on each site and give you a few notes to consider. You’re welcome. 🙂
So, without further to do, here are my suggestions for the Best Daily Fantasy Football Plays for Cash Games for Week 12 contests, along with they’re prices on Fan Duel (“FD”), Draft Kings (“DK”) and Yahoo! Daily Fantasy (“Y!”).
- There’s no clear Free Square of the Week™ this week, but there are some strong values on all site, they just happen to be different ones. On FanDuel and Yahoo, I prefer Miles Sanders as the free square, as he’s clearly in control of the Eagles backfield (84.7% snap rate in Week 11), Jordan Howard is still suffering from a shoulder injury, he’s facing a 16th ranked Seattle run defense and the Eagles are sixth in rushing attempts per game (29.1). Sanders is the 25th priced RB on FanDuel at $5,600 and 35th priced RB on Yahoo DFS at $14. I don’t mind playing him on Draft Kings either, since he’s just the 21st priced RB at $5,000.
- On Draft Kings, I actually prefer Bo Scarbrough as the Free Square of the Week™, as he’s the 37th priced RB at just $4200. Scarbrough carried 14 times for 55 yards and a touchdown in Week 11 just 24 hours after being signed by Detroit, leading the backfield in basically every metric. He now faces the 21st ranked Washington run defense per DVOA. There’s some risk, but he’s a no brainer for the price on Draft Kings, and also a decent play on Yahoo DFS as the 28th priced RB at just $15.
- If you want pay up at RB, Alvin Kamara is one of the top choices, as he’s a week in and week out top RB and now gets to face the WORST run defense in the NFL per DVOA, the Carolina Panthers. And, of course, Michael Thomas is always a top play having the MOST receptions (94) from the MOST targets (113) for the MOST receiving yards (1141) of any player in the NFL, and Jared Cook is a solid play with Brees under center, having a TD in 3 of his last 4 games.
- One of my favorite games of the week for DFS is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons. There’s an estimated total of 52.0 points, which is the second highest this weekend with the Falcons favored by 3.5. This should be a shootout between division rivals between a bad defenses (25th for the Falcons and 22nd for the Buccaneers). The Falcons defense has been better since the bye, but that only means more desperation heaves for Winston near the end of the game. So that means I like the following Falcons in this order (based on value and upside, particularly with Austin Hooper ruled out): Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley and, if you need a punt play, Russell Gage and I like the following Buccaneers in this order: Jameis Winston (who always manages to get that 300 yard bonus on Draft Kings), Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and, if you’d like to roll the dice on RB, Ronald Jones.
- Until further notice, Christian McCaffrey is in play every week, but he’s really expensive. He’s been in on 93.4% of the Panthers offensive snaps so far this season, which is the most of any RB in the NFL, the most rush yards per game of any RB (105.9), most rushing TDs (11) and 2nd most receiving yards per game among RBs (51.7). Simply put, he’s been match-up proof, but he’s tough to fit in your line up.
- Greg Olsen is a safe TE play every week and is always priced down across industry. Over the last 3 weeks, Olsen has averaged 5.3 receptions on 7 targets for 65 yards. His target share makes for a solid floor and he carries some TD upside.
- Baker Mayfield has had lots of ups and downs this season, and mostly downs early this season, but he’s averaging almost 2 TDs a game over his last 5 and should be able to take advantage of the NFL’s WORST pass defense when he squares off against the Dolphins on Sunday. He’s a solid value play at QB.
- Le’Veon Bell has been in on 85.3% of the Jets offensive snaps so far this season, which is the 4th most of any RB in the NFL, and he gets to face an Oakland Raiders defense that’s just 22nd against the run. Based on volume alone, Bell makes a solid play for the price.
- Derek Henry is inexplicably priced down on Draft Kings as the 10th RB at $6,900, which doesn’t at all match his upside against the Jaguars run defense that has allowed 160 and 236 rush yards in back-to-back weeks and allows the 9th most fantasy points this season to opposing RBs. Henry also has 89% of the Titans carries, which gives him a terrific floor. Feel free to get exposure in other sites, but he’s price more appropriately on FanDuel and Yahoo DFS, so isn’t as much of a value.
- On the other side of the ball, the Titans allow the 8th most receiving yards to RBs (482), and Leonard Fournette has the 5th most receptions (47) on the 6th most targets (58) of any RB in the NFL. That plus being in on 87.3% of the Jaguars offensive snaps so far this season, which is the 2nd most of any RB in the NFL, means that Fournette has a great floor and solid upside. Plus DJ Chark is moderately priced and should have a decent matchup against the Titans 22nd ranked pass defense.
- The Seahawks call the 5th highest percentage of running plays in the NFL (46.4%) and Chris Carson has taken advantage with 90+ scrimmage yards in 3 straight weeks and is now 5th in the NFL in total touches. For the price, Carson has a solid floor at excellent value if you’re trying to fit in some of the more expensive plays.
- DeVante Parker has been on a roll over the last 5 weeks averaging 5.4 receptions on 8.8 targets for 75 yards and 2 total TDs. The Browns are decent on defense, but with all the suspensions and controversy surrounding the Browns from the unfortunate Thursday night skirmish in Week 1, Parker should get his.
- Surprisingly, Dallas Goedert has averaged 5.6 targets per game and 3 total TD sas the second TE behind Ertz over the last 5 games. That’s some great value for where he’s priced, particularly against a Seahawks defense that allows the 7th most yards to opposing TEs (615) in the NFL.
- I’m not going off the beaten path too much this week, preferring the reasonably priced Buffalo Bills Defense that has allowed the 3rd least yards (3041) and has the 9th most sacks (29) in the NFL against the Denver Broncos who have allowed the 10th most sacks (32).
Good luck everyone, and I hope you all win DFS Cash in Week 12!