2019 Week 6 NFL Picks
By the Football Garbage Time StaffIf you followed last year, you won over 60% of your picks, and we aim to do even better this year.
And if you’ve been following us, you know that we here at Football Garbage Time have gone head to head against Wally, Will and Ray at Urban Sports Scene on our NFL Picks for the last 4 seasons. Why? Because they’re awesome competitors, they KNOW their sports, and, heck, they’re just good guys! This year we’ll have their picks up right HERE, so keep it tuned in, to both us and them, because we’ll be picking all season all long.
Without further to do, here we go:
Week 6 Games
Ha Kung Wong’s Picks
Ha Kung’s Thoughts:
Last year I ended up with a 66% record for the season, so that’s four years in a row with over a 60% pick rate. And guess who’s now in 1st place? That would be me with a 48-29 record (62.3%). Plus, I had a 94% record on Locks of the Week last year. Don’t worry, I don’t plan on stopping there either, as I’m still 5 for 5 on Locks, and 3 of 5 on Upsets!
So let’s see get to that Lock and Upset for Week 6…
Lock of the Week => Baltimore Ravens (-11.5) over Cincinnati Bengals
Guess who has the second worst defense in the league per DVOA? Yup, the Bengals. And guess who is currently missing their best WR and arguable their second best WR due to injury? Yup, that would AJ Green and John Ross of the Bengals. The Ravens have been terrible on defense as well by their own standards, but Lamar Jackson has been a revelation. He hasn’t been as good as he was in Week 1 against the Dolphins, but the Ravens have plenty of firepower to take this one.
Upset of the Week => Miami Dolphins (+3.5) over Washington Redskins
These teams are so bad that this might be a competitive game. I’m favoring the Dolphins for the upset and their first win of the season. They’re coming off a bye, which allows Josh Rosen more time to get acclimated to the offense, they have healthy WRs in Preston Williams and Davante Parker, and I think Kenyan Drake has too much talent to not break out against a bad defense (29th). Sure, the Dolphins have the worst defense in the NFL, but the Redskins just fired their head coach and are starting a gimpy Case Keenum who might not have a gimpy Terry McLauren, Jordan Reed or Vernon Davis to throw too. Plus, that offensive line is horrible without Trent Williams. Fins Up!
Joanne Kong’s Picks
New York Giants (2-3) @ New England Patriots (5-0)
Although, I’d like to think a miracle will happen and the NY Giants will defeat the Patriots by one-point on Thursday Night, there are at least two reasons why a Giants victory is less likely than the existence of shapeshifters and vampires:
The Venue –
- In the last 21 regular season games (the 2018 & 2019 season) the Patriots have been undefeated at Gillette Stadium. FACT!
The Defense –
- While Tom Brady isn’t terrible, he’s definitely lost some of his magic. Currently, Brady is 7th in passing yards (1409); 8th in TD (10); 9th in QBR (62.8%); And, 22nd in completion percentage (63.1%).
- The defense on the other hand are at the top of their game. The two players with the most defensive interceptions in the league happen to both be on the Patriots – Safety, Devin McCourty (4) and Line Backer Jamie Collins Sr. (3).
- Jamie Collins Sr. is also 9th in sacks (4.5) for the season. The Patriots also can add defensive end, Chase Winovich (4); Safety, JC Jackson (2); And, corner back, Jason McCourty (1) to the sack total.
- The Patriots are 2nd overall in yards allowed (1,192), behind the San Francisco 49ers. But, the 49ers have played one less week, coming off a bye-week. They are 1st against the pass, allowing only 160.4 passing yards per game, and 3rd against the run game, allowing 78 rushing yards per game.
How good is the @Patriots defense?
1985 Bears – 12.4 PPG Allowed
2000 Ravens – 10.3 PPG Allowed
2019 Patriots – 6.8 PPG Allowed
— NFL Research (@NFLResearch) October 6, 2019
- In five weeks, the Patriots defense has not allowed a single passing touchdown, and have only allowed two offensive touchdowns, both rushing TD made by were made during away games by quarterback Josh Allen @ Buffalo’s Ralph Wilson Stadium, and Steven Sims Jr. @ Washington’s FedEx Field.
"Through 5 weeks, the Patriots have 11 INTs and 0 pass TDs allowed. The Patriots defense and special teams have scored 3 TDs, their defense has allowed 2 TDs. The defense is exceptional." — @getnickwright pic.twitter.com/Z9d8uRI2N2
— First Things First (@FTFonFS1) October 7, 2019
- The New York Giants on the other hand has benched long time quarterback Eli Manning and put in rookie Daniel Jones. After a two game win streak against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Washington Redskins, they are coming off a hard loss to the Minnesota Vikings. In week six, the Giants will be without running backs Saquon Barkley and Wayne Gallman, and without Jones’ top two targets in Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram.
Week 6 Thursday Night Football
New York Giants @ New England Patriots…
This is going to be a blood bath. pic.twitter.com/p0pMhpDyAZ
— Joanne Kong (@kongfu4u) October 10, 2019
Ryan Whitfield’s Picks
Follow me on Twitter – @RyanWhitfieldNE
Scott King’s Picks
I’m embarrassed my the last two weeks showing. I thought I was a lock to sweep. Nothing to say.
Check out Wally’s thoughts also at the 1 hour mark of the most recent Urban Sports Scene Podcast!
— Wole USS (@UrbanSportScene) October 9, 2019
Check out Ray’s thoughts also at the 1 hour mark of the most recent Urban Sports Scene Podcast!
Threw away the lead I had at the top but still tied at the top and time to turn it around this week.
Two games teams are alternating wins and losses so I am going to back them to stick to their pattern. Tampa Bay lost last week so they get back .500 by beating Carolina this week while the Vikings won last week so they will fall to the Eagles this week.
You would think a coaching change and the usual bounce from that means that Washington wins the battle of the winless in Miami. I am going the other way and a loss here will mean the Skins are headed for 0-9 and potential history.
I’ve been picking against Teddy Bridgewater and the Saints and it hasn’t worked but I will go to that well again with Gardner Minshew magic at home.
Denver finally got in the win column last week but it won’t be 2 in a row because the Titans will lean on Derrick Henry and win a close one a mile high.
Week 5 Results
Check back next week for our Week 6 results and Week 7 picks!