2016 Week 11 NFL Picks
By the Football Garbage Time StaffIf you followed last year, you won over 60% of your picks, and we aim to do even better this year. We’re off to a decent start, so without further to do, here we go:
Week 11 Games
Ha Kung Wong’s Picks
Ha Kung’s Thoughts:
As I mention every week, copy my picks and you can thank me later. I know Ryan took a shot at me 2 weeks ago, but look who’s creeping up on first place after going 11-2 in Week 9 and 8-6 in Week 10? Two thumbs pointing at this guy. I think we all know who the real NFL Pick Guru is around these parts. Like I say, if you like winning, I think I can help.
For Week 11, the most interesting game for me is the Philadelphia Eagles @ Seattle Seahawks.
Seattle is currently favored in this home game by 6.5 points with an over/under of 43, which is the second lowest over/under of the week. As I mentioned last week, the Seattle Seahawks came alive in Week 9 and backed that up with a solid win over the Patriots in Week 10. Russell Wilson’s ankle must have been holding him back, as he’s been a big reason why the Seahawks have been successful over the last two weeks (Wilson was named Pro Football Focus’ top QB in Week 9). In fact, Pro Football Focus has Wilson rated as the 3rd best QB on deep passes based on QBR, and he showed that off in Week 10 with 4 different receivers getting receptions 20 yards or longer.
And although both defenses feature some of the best linebackers in the NFL pursuant to Pro Football Focus (2 for Seattle and 1 for Philly)…
— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) November 17, 2016
…it’s Seattle that’s been more impressive on defense of late, with Cliff Avril having the 5th most sacks in the league (9), and the ever present Richard Sherman teaming up with Pro Football Focus’ Best Safety of Week 10, Kam Chancellor, patrolling the secondary.
— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) November 16, 2016
That’s not to say that Seattle is perfect, as although they have allowed the 2nd least amount of points per game (17.6), they also have the 8th least takeaways (10) this season.
Philadelphia, on the other hand, has allowed the 3rd least amount of points per game (17.8), allowed the 6th least total yards per game (323) and has the 6th most takeaways this season (16). Those are impressive stats, but honestly, I just don’t think it matters since not only has Wilson looked great over the last two weeks, he’s also been the 2nd most accurate QB under pressure this year.
Most-accurate QBs under pressure this season (by adjusted completion %):
1. Cody Kessler, 81.4
2. Russell Wilson, 77.1
3. Tom Brady, 74.3 pic.twitter.com/07fRUalKzf
— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) November 15, 2016
Again, I wouldn’t be surprised it if it were close, as both teams are currently coming off impressive Week 10 wins, but I just trust the Seahawks offense more than Carson Wentz and company, who’ve had some up-and-down performances. Plus, CJ Prosise looked terrific in Week 10, and should create a dynamic tandem with Thomas Rawls returning from injury. Seahawks win this one.
Also, just because we love competition here at Football Garbage Time, we’re once again going heads up against Wally, Will and Ray at Urban Sports Scene on our NFL Picks. Right now we’re leading at 5-1-3 for the season.
They’re awesome competitors, and they KNOW their sports, so keep it tuned in, to both us and them, because we’ll be picking all season all long!
Scott King’s Picks
Joanne Kong’s Picks
Joanne Kong’s Comments:
For her thoughts on the AFC West games, check out her AFC West Week 11 Preview and Predictions.
For her thoughts on the AFC South games, check out her AFC South Week 11 Preview and Predictions.
Chicago Bears (2-7) @ New York Giants (6-3)
After a slow start, New York Giants quarterback, Eli Manning, is beginning to look like the 2-time Super Bowl champion, 2-time Super Bowl MVP and the 4-time Pro-Bowl quarterback we are familiar with. With an injury to wide receiver Victor Cruz (ankle), rookie wide receiver, Sterling Shephard, has stepped up catching touchdowns two weeks in a row.
In week 10, Manning threw for 240 passing yards, 3 touchdowns with 2 interceptions. The Giants offense, which has had a non-existent run game of late, broke out with 122 rush yards, winning 21-20 against the Cincinnati Bengals.
In week 11, the Giants will host the Chicago Bears.
The Bears, who lost week 10 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10-36, has had a rough season. Bears quarterback, Jay Cutler, has won 1-4 games played this season. And, the Bears record doesn’t look to be getting better anytime soon. The Bears are 0-5 on the road this season. They’ve lost starting guard Kyle Long to a right ankle injury during week 10 against the Buccaneers and also lost wide receiver Alshon Jeffery, who’s been suspended for 4-games for violating the leagues policy on performance enhancing drugs. Wide receiver Kevin White remains on injured reserve. Running back, Jordan Howard, tweaked his Achilles, but is off the injury list this week, but that’s unlikely to be enough to keep the Bears competitive as quarterback, Cutler, is coming off one of his worst games ever with 182 passing yards, a touchdown, 2-interceptions and 2-fumbles.
With the Bears averaging and anemic 15.7 points per game and with an offense at less than 100-percent, the Bears will have a tough week ahead of them. The Giants have a top-ten rush defense (92.1 yards per game), 9 interceptions (1 which was returned for a touchdown) and 7 forced fumbles. The Giants also have a much stronger receiving core with Odell Beckham Jr, Sterling Shepard and Will Tye, and will face a Bears defense that has allowed 23.9 points per game.
With the Giants as 7-points favorites, I’m picking the New York Giants to win.
NFC East Standings:
— ✭Cowboys News✭ (8-1) (@DemBoyz_News) November 15, 2016
Jason Johnson’s Picks
Ryan Whitfield’s Picks
Joey Alibro’s Picks
Week 10 Results:
Current Football Garbage Time Staff Standings:
Check back next week for our Week 11 results and Week 12 picks!
Have specific questions? Let us know!